Migration in China

Is Urban Migration the Solution to China’s Problems?

“For a lot of analysts, it seems that the phrase “urban migration” is the correct response to many of the problems you might identify with China’s growth model.  Is there a real estate bubble?  No there isn’t because urban migration will create a near infinite future demand for residential and commercial real estate.  Does China under consume?  Yes but urban migration will raise consumption rates.

This latter claim was highlighted in a Tuesday article in the South China Morning Post, which claims that “President Hu Jintao’s pledge yesterday to spur urbanisation and domestic demand next year has been seen as an attempt to tackle the growing problem of industrial overcapacity.””

Dr. Pettis concludes that urban migration isn’t necessarily the solution for overcapacity problems.


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